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Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc. (BRNS)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 showed steady execution on VTP-1000 with the final SAD cohort screening underway and the MAD portion of AVALON initiated; however, the SAD topline shifted from “Q3” to “early Q4 2025,” modestly pushing the near‑term catalyst timeline .
  • Operating profile reflected disciplined R&D ($8.0M) but higher G&A ($15.4M) on FX-driven unrealized losses; net loss widened to $21.1M ($0.52) from $19.6M ($0.49) in Q1 and $16.9M ($0.43) y/y .
  • Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash were $87.8M at 6/30 (cash & equivalents $86.3M), and runway “into 2027” remains unchanged; Q2 operating cash outflow was $18.1M vs $14.9M in Q1 .
  • EPS missed S&P Global consensus as the company remains pre‑revenue; path to stock catalysts centers on the early Q4 SAD readout, mid‑2026 MAD data, and partnering progress on legacy vector programs .
  • No Q2 earnings call transcript appears to have been filed; the company’s June Investor Summit remarks reiterated no near‑term financing plans given runway to 2027, pending readouts .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Advanced VTP-1000: Final SAD cohort initiated screening and MAD initiated in July; SAD topline now expected early Q4 2025; MAD data mid‑2026 .
    • R&D spending efficiency: R&D declined q/q to $8.0M (from $8.3M) as legacy infectious disease/oncology programs wind down; autoimmune spending ramps as development continues .
    • HBV/prostate programs complete or show signals: VTP‑850 Phase 1 complete with encouraging immunogenicity (seeking partners); VTP‑300 data at EASL support potential functional cure component for low HBsAg patients (partnering focus) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS miss vs consensus: Q2 GAAP EPS of $(0.52) missed S&P Global consensus of $(0.33)*, reflecting higher G&A driven by FX and continued operating spend .
    • Higher G&A: G&A rose to $15.4M vs $12.6M in Q1, mainly unrealized FX losses from USD balances in GBP entities, pressuring bottom line .
    • Catalyst timing modestly slipped: SAD topline moved from “Q3 2025” to “early Q4 2025,” pushing the near‑term readout window slightly to the right .

Financial Results

Headline P&L (USD, in $M except per-share; “in thousands” per filings)

MetricQ2 2024 (oldest)Q1 2025Q2 2025 (newest)
Revenue$0.00 (no revenue recognized) $0.00 (no revenue recognized) $0.00 (no revenue recognized)
R&D Expense$11.66 $8.29 $7.95
G&A Expense$7.20 $12.64 $15.38
Other Operating Income$0.58 $0.33 $0.01
Net Loss (Attrib. to shareholders)$(16.94) $(19.65) $(21.12)
Diluted EPS$(0.43) $(0.49) $(0.52)
Weighted Avg. Shares (Diluted)39.04M 40.27M 40.34M

Cash and Liquidity

Metric12/31/2024 (oldest)3/31/20256/30/2025 (newest)
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$110.66 $99.12 $86.26
Restricted Cash ($M)$1.74 $1.46 $1.53
Cash, Equivalents & Restricted ($M)$112.40 $100.58 $87.80
Operating Cash Flow (quarter) ($M)n/a$(14.9) $(18.1)
Cash Runway GuidanceInto 2027 Into 2027 Into 2027 (unchanged)

R&D by Program (Q2 vs Q1 2025; $000s)

ProgramQ1 2025Q2 2025
VTP‑1000 (Celiac)$982 $1,782
VTP‑300 (HBV)$1,350 $1,837
Other clinical programs$741 $1,642
Other pre‑clinical programs$419 $449
Total Direct R&D$3,492 $4,710
Personnel-related (indirect)$3,944 $2,450
Other indirect (incl. facility)$854 $793
Total R&D Expense$8,290 $7,953

Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global; Q2 2025)

MetricConsensusActual
EPS (GAAP)$(0.33)*$(0.52)
Revenue ($M)$0.00*$0.00 (no revenue recognized)

Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
VTP‑1000 SAD toplineQ3→Q4 2025“Q3 2025” “Early Q4 2025” Lowered/slipped
VTP‑1000 MAD initiation2H25“2H 2025 expected” “Initiated July 2025” Achieved/raised certainty
VTP‑1000 MAD topline2026Not provided previously“Mid‑2026” New guidance
Cash runwayMulti‑yearInto 2027 Into 2027 (unchanged) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was found in filings; themes below synthesize Q1–Q2 press releases and a June investor event.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24/Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
VTP‑1000 timelineSAD readout expected Q3’25; MAD to start 2H’25 SAD now “early Q4’25”; MAD initiated July’25; MAD data mid‑’26 Slight schedule slip on SAD; execution on MAD
R&D focus shiftStrategic refocus to I&I; deprioritize vector programs, seek partners Continues; VTP‑850 complete with partnering intent; VTP‑300 seeking partners Steady execution
FX/margin dynamicsQ1 G&A up on $4.4M FX loss y/y Q2 G&A up q/q on unrealized FX losses FX volatility persists
Cash runwayInto 2027 Unchanged into 2027 Stable
HBV data positioningEASL data support for low HBsAg cohorts, potential for functional cure component Reiterated; partnering path emphasized Stable

Management Commentary

  • “We remained laser‑focused on advancing VTP‑1000… We look forward to reporting topline data from the SAD portion of the trial early in the fourth quarter of 2025.” — Bill Enright, CEO .
  • “MAD portion of the [AVALON] trial was initiated in July 2025… MAD data is expected in mid‑2026.” .
  • “Available resources and cash runway guidance into 2027 remains unchanged.” .
  • On financing cadence: “No immediate plans to do fundraising… cash runway into 2027… awaiting celiac program data.” — Investor Summit (June 10, 2025) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capital needs: Management indicated no near‑term financing given ~$100M cash and runway to 2027; will reassess post‑celiac readouts .
  • Readout timing: SAD data targeted for end‑Q3/early‑Q4 (reiterated in June), subsequently guided to “early Q4 2025” in Q2 release; MAD data mid‑2026 .
  • Modality strategy: Continued prioritization of antigen‑specific immune tolerance (SNAP‑TI) for I&I; legacy vector programs (HBV, prostate) to advance via partners .

Estimates Context

  • EPS missed S&P Global consensus: $(0.52) vs $(0.33)*; key driver was higher G&A from unrealized FX losses .
  • Revenue in-line at $0 vs $0.00*; company remains pre‑revenue this quarter (no license revenues recognized) .
    Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term catalyst modestly delayed: SAD topline moves to early Q4’25; expect elevated event‑risk into that window; MAD initiation de‑risks execution, but efficacy signals await 2026 .
  • Expense mix evolving: R&D trendline is flattening as legacy programs complete while autoimmune spend scales; watch G&A/FX swings which impacted Q2 .
  • Liquidity sufficient through key milestones: ~$87.8M cash+restricted and runway into 2027 reduce financing overhang prior to SAD/MAD readouts .
  • HBV optionality via partnerships: EASL data showed meaningful HBsAg declines and instances of functional cure in low‑HBsAg cohorts; partnering remains the intended path to value realization .
  • Stock set‑up: Outcome hinges on early‑Q4 SAD tolerability/biomarker signals in celiac; a positive read could validate SNAP‑TI and re‑rate the pipeline, while further delays or mixed signals could pressure sentiment .
  • Governance/ops: CFO transition in Q1 with CEO as interim PFO; monitor finance organization stability through upcoming catalysts .

Appendix: Additional Data and Disclosures

  • Balance Sheet (6/30/25): Cash & equivalents $86.26M; restricted $1.53M; total equity $102.48M .
  • Income Statement (Q2’25): Total operating expenses $23.34M; net loss $(21.13)M; EPS $(0.52) .
  • Operating Cash Flow: $(18.1)M in Q2’25 vs $(14.9)M in Q1’25 .
  • No Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was located in SEC/filings; analysis includes the June 10, 2025 Investor Summit remarks for qualitative context .